Canadian housing markets buck recession and trend upwards – RE/MAX Bricks and Mortar Report

September 24, 2009 · Filed Under Market Trends, Real Estate Canada and Remax Reports · Comment 

With the worst of the recession over, residential real estate markets in major Canadian centres are poised for growth in the final quarter of 2009, according to a report released today by RE/MAX.

The RE/MAX Bricks and Mortar Report found the bounce back that began in early Spring has made this recession one of the shortest on record for real estate. Low interest rates, pent-up demand, and improved affordability levels have all played a role in the recovery now well underway. Percentage increases in sales from January to August 2009 were led by Vancouver, (up a substantial 14 per cent to 23,158), Victoria (up 7.4 per cent to 5,266), Edmonton (up 6.2 per cent to 13,691), Regina (up five per cent to 2,597), Ottawa (up 2.4 per cent to 10,830) and Toronto (up 1.8 per cent to 58,421).

Housing values are already ahead of record-breaking 2008 levels in seven of the 11 markets surveyed, including Newfoundland-Labrador (18.1 per cent year to $203,584), Regina (6.4 per cent to $244,088), Halifax-Dartmouth (3.5 per cent to $239,633), Winnipeg (3.5 per cent to $207,006), Ottawa (3.3 per cent to $301,684), and Toronto (up 0.3 per cent to $385,978). Nationally, average price hovers at $312,585, up 0.5 per cent over one year ago.

“Markets are heating up across the country,” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Purchasers are clearly taking advantage of affordable prices and rock bottom interest rates. Those who missed the boat in years past have found that sitting on the sidelines can be a costly move. Prices are on the upswing and inventory levels are tightening, so the push toward home ownership is expected to continue throughout the Fall and possibly into early 2010.”

The recovery of Canada’s resale housing markets speaks to the tremendous value Canadians place on the importance of owning a home. The number of Canadians overall who own a home has increased since 1981 from 62.1 per cent to 68.4 per cent, with some markets posting even higher homeownership rates — Calgary (74.1), St. John’s (71.5), Regina (70.1), and Edmonton (69.2). Significant gains have also been made over the same period in markets such as Ottawa — where homeownership levels rose from 51.4 per cent to 66.7 per cent — and Toronto, where levels rose fro m 57.3 to 67.6 per cent.

Generation X purchasers poised to be a major force in recreational property markets across the Canada

June 4, 2009 · Filed Under Remax Reports · Comment 

Generation X purchasers are poised to replace aging baby boomers as the major force in recreational property markets across the country, according to a report released today by RE/MAX.

The demographic shift was noted in the 2009 RE/MAX Recreational Property Report highlighting sales, pricing, trends and developments in 50 Canadian markets.  The report found demand from Gen X (those born between 1965 and 1980) has nearly doubled over one year ago.  Seventy-four per cent of markets surveyed this year reported a marked trend toward thirty-something buyers snapping up affordably-priced product, ranging from waterfront cottages to resort condominiums, compared to just 40 per cent in 2008.

The time to buy has never been better. With four exceptions, recreational property prices have softened in most major markets across the country.  Only on the Newfoundland Coast and in Ontario, from Innisfil to Oro, Kingston, and Beaverton, have values increased this year compared to 2008. Starting prices remain similar to one year ago and in some cases are even higher.

“While buyer’s market conditions exist virtually across the board, sellers of recreational properties from coast-to-coast are clearly content to wait out the storm,” says Polzler.  “They are in no hurry to unload their product.  Many have held on to their properties for generations – they’re fully-owned yet underutilized, which has prompted some aging owners to list them for sale.”

RE/MAX St. John’s Real Estate Market Share

January 19, 2009 · Filed Under Remax Newfoundland and Remax Reports · 1 Comment 

remaxmarketshare2008

The stats have been tallied and once again RE/MAX is leading the way in market share for St. John’s and surrounding areas.  Over 40% of the real estate business in St. John’s is being transacted with RE/MAX Realtors and the RE/MAX branding.

As reported back in July for the first two quarters in 2008 for  St. John’s real estate market update, RE/MAX has been consistantly hovering near 40%.  In fact for over 5 years I’ve seen RE/MAX going from the mid thirties and up.

Threat of global recession hinders home sales in major Canadian housing markets in 2008 and 2009, says RE/MAX

December 3, 2008 · Filed Under Real Estate Canada and Remax Reports · Comment 

Mississauga, ON (December 3, 2008) – Global economic uncertainty weighed heavily on residential real estate activity in most major Canadian centres during the latter half of 2008. Although the forecast for 2009 promises more of the same, most markets are expected to weather the storm, says RE/MAX. “Housing market performance will clearly be contingent on economic performance at a local, provincial, and national level in 2009,” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Issues affecting the overall economy are impacting housing markets across the country and the situation is not expected to be remedied until consumer confidence is restored. That said, we could see a bounce back as early as spring – if inventory levels remain stable, pent-up demand kicks into gear, and lower interest rates stimulate home-buying activity.”

Click here for the RE/MAX Press Release

St. John’s Remax Upper End Report

Strong economic performance is fueling sales of luxury homes priced in excess of $400,000 in St. John’s this year. Year-to-date MLS reported sales over $400,000 have climbed 78 per cent, reaching 50 units in the first seven months of 2008, compared to 28 at the same time in 2007. The increase in sales activity of luxury homes extends much further than the MLS statistics reveal considering the present record volume of new executive home construction.

Under the leadership of Premier Danny Williams, Newfoundland has flourished.  Strength in the energy sector has bolstered the local economy and residential housing sales.  Unemployment is at a record low and wages continue to rise. The average price of a home has increased significantly, prompting unprecedented move-up activity.  Sales are up across the board with price points climbing in more and more communities. Once a rarity in Newfoundland, homes sales are now beginning to occur over $1 million.

Although a considerable amount of new home construction exists in St. John’s, demand for new homes continues to outpace supply.  A shortage of skilled trades is the trouble point within the marketplace, as many skilled trades people have migrated to Alberta for work in recent years. This factor burdens the ability to satisfy the demand for new homes. The construction period for production of an average single family dwelling that would typically require a five to six-month schedule is now taking double the amount of time to complete.

Inventory levels are up in the $400,000 plus price range, but quality listings are few and far between with a shortage in key luxury neighbourhoods.  Sought-after locations in St. John’s and surrounding areas include Churchill Square, King William Estates, Waterford Valley, Country Gardens, Hogan’s Pond, and specific regions within the communities of Topsail and Manuels, where properties are priced from $500,000 to $2 million.

Luxury homes priced at fair market value tend to sell within 30 days, while excessive overpriced listings stagnate. Well-priced properties in coveted neighbourhoods are experiencing multiple offers.

The majority of buyers are young professionals in their late 30s and 40s. Many are employed by the oil and gas industry, or hold high-paying jobs in business, engineering, and medicine. Transfers from out-of-province and international buyers represent a significant presence at the top-end of the market, with many investing in established neighbourhoods, the urban core, and ocean view or pond frontage properties.

Price appreciation has experienced a huge jump in recent years with values up as much as 35 per cent over the last two years in the luxury market.  The majority of upper-end sales occur at the $500,000 to $900,000 price points.  Currently, the highest priced residential listing is $1,475,000.

The offshore development of Hebron, Newfoundland’s fourth oil field, located just 350 kilometers from St. John’s, is forecast to further impact the local economy.  In the foreseeable future, the province is expected to receive significant royalties from offshore oil activity.  The revenues will help diminish the highest per-capita debt in the country and secure Newfoundland’s economic outlook and that of the residential real estate market.
Leading the country in terms of percentage increase in luxury home sales are Regina (up 306 per cent); Winnipeg (up 89 per cent); St. John’s (up 78 per cent); Saskatoon (up 72 per cent); Kitchener-Waterloo (up 47 per cent); Ottawa (up 36 per cent); Halifax-Dartmouth (up 20 per cent); London (up 14 per cent); Greater Vancouver (up five per cent); and Victoria (up four per cent). Solid performance is likely a result of consumer confidence, particularly in provinces like Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Newfoundland, Nova Scotia, and parts of Ontario where solid economic fundamentals helped to bolster the number of homes sold in the upper-end.

Newfoundland Real Estate Market Share

July 23, 2008 · Filed Under Remax Newfoundland and Remax Reports · Comment 

RE/MAX is once again top of the leader board for real estate market share in St. John’s and surrounding areas. Boasting slighty over 40% over all other competitors for the first half of 2008.

Newfoundland Real Estate Market Share

Remax Atlantic Canada Market Trends

An economic engine firing on all cylinders has driven residential real estate activity in Newfoundland and Labrador to new heights. Home sales in the first quarter of 2008 climbed just over 14 per cent, rising from 624 units—and a buyer’s market—one year ago, to 713 units, and a seller’s market. Average price followed suit, with year-to-date values rising close to 14 per cent to $156,953, up from $138,167 in 2007. The momentum is even greater in St. John’s, where average price now approaches $190,000. Not since a very short-lived period in 2004 has the city seen the level of consumer confidence that exists in the marketplace today.

Fueled by export growth—in the form of crude oil—Newfoundland-Labrador’s GDP growth led the country in 2007 at a substantial 13.4 per cent. Newfoundland- Labrador has reported the largest single-decade turnaround in GDP per capita in one decade—a first in Canadian history. Out-migration has been stemmed and population growth is expected for the first time in 15 years. Premier Danny Williams has promised that the province will be a “have” within the next 11 months.

Prosperity has fueled a spending spree that includes housing, retail, and auto sales. Inventory levels are tight and multiple offers are commonplace on homes across the board.

First-time buyers are entering the market en masse, taking advantage of zero and low down payment plans and longer amortization periods. Equity gains have also played a role, prompting serious move-up activity. Home sales priced in excess of $350,000 are brisk.

Investment is a growing segment of the real estate market, spurred by purchasers from Western Canada. Lower interest rates are expected to stimulate even greater activity in the marketplace.

There are $10 billion in capital works projects on the table and the pressure is only starting to build. Natural resources are the key to success and the future has never looked brighter for St. John’s. Real estate will following lock-step, with sales and prices exceeding 2007 levels by double-digits at year-end 2008.

Read the full Remax Atlantic Canada Martket Trends Report 2008

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