Newfoundland MLS Trends for 4th Quarter 2009
CMHC just released their latest Housing Market Information statistics for the Newfoundland real estate market today. Here is a basic breakdown from the report:
MLS® Residential Sales Increase During Fourth Quarter
- MLS® sales increased 7.5% to 1,293 compared to 2008’s fourth quarter sales of 1,203.
- October, November and December MLS® sales were 473, 421 and 399, respectively.
- Fourth quarter average MLS® residential house price climbed 10% to $212,992 compared to $193,529 during the fourth quarter of 2008 – the only consistent price growth market in Canada since 2008.
Sellers Market Conditions
- 1,257 new residential listings during the 4th quarter compared to 1,463 during the same period in 2008.
- Active listings or inventory averaged 1,542 from October to December versus a similar 1,528 during Q4 of 2008.
- Sales-to-active listings ratio hit 34% in December and averaged 29% during the fourth quarter versus 26% in Q4 of 2008.
Sellers Market Keeps Active Listings Low
- Steady demand for housing caused active residential listings to remain low during the fourth quarter.
- Active listings for October, November and December were 1,790, 1,643 and 1,192, respectively, with new listings of 601, 416 and 240, respectively.
- Steady demand paired with 7.5% more sales and 14% fewer new listings resulted in sellers market conditions.
Mortgage Rates
- Canadian mortgage rates are expected to remain historically low during the first half of 2010 and increase gradually during the second half, as bond yields start to increase.
- For 2010, the posted 5-year mortgage rate is expected to be in the 5.49% to 6.0% range.
- The record low bank rate currently sits at 0.25%, with prime at 2.25% and 5-year fixed mortgage rates at 5.49% at major Canadian banks.
Newfoundland Real Estate Stats for October

CMHC released their Third quarter data for Newfoundland MLS Real estate the other day. As expected, we are officially in a balanced market now within the St. John’s Real Estate area. New MLS listings edged down once again, as did the number of sales compared to September’s Newfoundland Real Estate Stats. New listings were on par with 2008’s third quarter, but with available inventory 27% higher, this gives buyers more time to shop and compare houses. Total number of houses that expired in October was up 53% since October of last year. Having your house priced correctly is KEY in this market.
Total # of new MLS Listings [Oct] =397 (based on residential stats)
Total # of Sales [Oct] = 325
Number of Active Listings in the NLAR MLS System (ALL of Newfoundland) = 1829 (residential only)
Here is a break down by area for the month of October
St. John’s Real Estate: Listings = 167 Sales = 132 Sales/Listings Ratio = 79%
Average Sale Price is St. John’s: $217,032 for the month of October
Mount Pearl Real Estate: Listings = 26 Sales = 23 Sales/Listings Ratio = 88%
Average Sale Price: $218,681
Paradise Real Estate: Listings =40 Sales = 41 Sales/Listings Ratio =102%
Average Sale Price: $262,591
East Extern Real Estate: Listings = 28 Sales = 19 Sales/Listings Ratio = 68%
Average Sale Price: $249,459
Conception Bay South Real Estate: Listings = 45 Sales = 31 Sales/Listings Ratio = 69%
Average Sale Price: $216,627
Newfoundland Housing Market Third Quarter MLS Trends
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation released its data on the third quarter MLS housing market trends for Newfoundland yesterday.
MLS® Residential Sales Lower during Third Quarter
- MLS® sales decreased 11% to 1,504 compared to last year’s record third quarter sales of 1,695
- July, August and September MLS® sales were 536, 472 and 496, respectively
- Third quarter average St. John’s MLS® residential house price climbed 13% to $206,852 compared to $182,306 during the third quarter of 2008 – the only consistent price growth market in Canada during the past 12 month period
Balanced Residential Resale Market
- There were 2,282 new residential listings during the third quarter compared to 2,246 during the same period last year
- However, active listings or inventory averaged 2,200 from July to September versus a much lower 1,750 during Q3 of 2008
- Sales-to-active listings ratio hit 24% in September and averaged 23% during the third quarter versus 32% in Q3 of 2008
Balanced Market Keeps Active Listings Up
- Normalized demand for housing caused active residential listings to increase 27% to the end of the third quarter
- Active listings for July, August and September were 2,301, 2,150 and 2,077, respectively, with new listings of 918, 695 and 669, respectively
- New listings were on par with 2008’s third quarter, but with available inventory 27% higher, the market was balanced
St. John’s MLS prices surged 27% in Q4 2008
The St. John’s Newfoundland MLS listings numbers where down for the 4th quarter of 2008. However there was a noticeable increase in price. MLS sales fell 9% to 1,203 units compared to 2007’s record fourth quarter sales of 1,326 units. The average St. John’s MLS price surged 27% to $193,529 compared to $152,160 during the fourth quarter of 2007, representing the only growth market in Canada. October, November and December MLS sales were 549, 373 and 281, respectively.
The Sellers market we saw for most of 2008 weakened during the 4th quarter, bringing us back into a balanced real estate market. Sales to active listings ratio fell to 21% in December, but averaged 26% during Q4 versus 21% the fourth quarter of 2007. New MLS listings increased 11% in the fourth quarter and when combined with the 9% decline in sales, total active listings began to stabilize. There were 1,463 new residential listings during the fourth quarter compared to 1,320 during Q4 of 2007, an increase of 11%. Active listings averaged 1,528 from October to December 2008 versus 2,067 during the fourth quarter of last year.
October Newfoundland Real Estate MLS Stats

The monthly Newfoundland Real Estate MLS housing price break down is showing a 1% decrease in listings this month and an increase of 21% in home purchases. Year to date, listings are up slightly by 1% and sales up 14% compared to this time last year. Interestingly, the total dollar value in sales was up 47% for the month of October.
Total # of New MLS Listings [Oct] = 764
Total # of Sales [Oct] = 636
Number of Active Listings in the NLAR MLS System = 2595
The average price of a home in the St. John’s Real Estate market is now $187,636 year to date for 2008. Compared to $167,847 YTD for 2007. Remember this is for ALL Newfoundland (nlar.ca)
Here is a break down by area for the month of October
St. John’s Real Estate: Listings = 186 Sales = 136 Sales/Listings Ratio = 73%
Average Sale Price: $202,896
Mount Pearl Real Estate: Listings = 15 Sales = 17 Sales/Listings Ratio = 113%
Average Sale Price: $186,612
Paradise Real Estate: Listings =31 Sales = 36 Sales/Listings Ratio =116%
Average Sale Price: $234,681
East Extern Real Estate: Listings = 28 Sales = 32 Sales/Listings Ratio = 114%
Average Sale Price: $219,193
Conception Bay Real Estate: Listings = 47 Sales = 40 Sales/Listings Ratio = 85%
Average Sale Price: $231,552
Sellers Market in St. John’s Keeps Active Listings Down
Unprecedented demand for housing has driven active St. John’s residential listings approximately 42% lower to the end of the third quarter. Active listings for July, August and September were 1,921, 1,693 and 1,524, respectively with new listings of 870, 632 and 744, respectively. New listings increased 6% during the third quarter, but the dramatic decline in active listings kept overall listings low.

There were 2,246 new residential listings during the third quarter compared to 2,120 during the same period last year. With sellers conditions, active listings averaged just 1,713 from July to September versus 2,756 during the third quarter of 2007.
Sales to active listings ratio hit 36% in September and averaged 33% during the third quarter versus 19% the third quarter of 2007.

Bank of Canada cut its rate 50 basis points (0.5%) October 8th, making it a full 2% in cuts since December 2007. Bank rate currently sits at 2.50% with the prime lending rate ranging from 4.25% to 4.35% at Canadian banks (as of October 17th). Quite possible that the Bank of Canada could cut its rate again by another 50 basis points by the end of this week lowering the lending rate to 2.00%
September Newfoundland Real Estate Stats

The monthly Newfoundland Real Estate MLS housing price break down is showing an increase of 6% in listings this month and an increase of 27% in home purchases. Year to date, listings are up 1% and sales up 13% compared to this time last year. Properties sold in St. John’s in the $180,000 to $350, 000 range have doubled in number of units sold.
Total # of New MLS Listings [Sept] = 834
Total # of Sales [Sept] = 606
Number of Active Listings in the NLAR MLS System = 2587
The average price of a home in the St. John’s Real Estate market is now $183,929 year to date for 2008. Compared to $165,813 9YTD) for 2007. Remember this is for ALL Newfoundland (nlar.ca) Prices are closer to the $200,000 average in St. John’s, Mount Pearl and surrounding areas.
Here is a break down by area for the month of September for single family homes
St. John’s Real Estate: Listings = 178 Sales = 122 Sales/Listings Ratio = 67%
Average Sale Price: $192,575
Mount Pearl Real Estate: Listings = 21 Sales = 24 Sales/Listings Ratio = 114%
Average Sale Price: $177,445
Paradise Real Estate: Listings =52 Sales = 32 Sales/Listings Ratio = 61%
Average Sale Price: $210,327
East Extern Real Estate: Listings = 43 Sales = 25 Sales/Listings Ratio = 54%
Average Sale Price: $219,413
Conception Bay Real Estate: Listings = 41 Sales = 41 Sales/Listings Ratio = 100%
Average Sale Price: $197,360













