Demand for housing in St. John’s remains healthy, particularly among first time buyers, despite a decline in year-to-date sales.  Buyer’s market conditions and the best choice of product in years have buoyed the entry-level segment, along with wage gains, economic growth and rising consumer confidence levels. Affordability continues to be  favourable, with increased earnings offsetting the more moderate price growth of late.  Most young home buyers are now active from $200,000 to $250,000.  Those buying new construction will have to ante up more—typically between $230,000 and $280,000 to start—as the  price of new construction has risen at a greater rate.  Those on a tight budget will find that homes listed below $200,000 are few and far between and tend to sell for close to full price, if listed at fair market value.  Some even generate a rare multiple offer.

To illustrate the supply issue, only 34 homes have sold year-to-date under $175,000, accounting for just 10 per cent of all sales, and only 39 listings under that price point are currently available. Given that, buyers at the lowest end of the price spectrum will have to act more quickly.  The housing mix in St. John’s continues to favour the single detached home, particularly in the first-time buyer segment.

Of the 34 homes sold under $175,000, only three were condominiums. Entry-level condominium product remains limited in St. John’s, as builders continue to focus on the mid-range—units priced between $250,000 and $350,000. While condominiums are gaining traction with younger buyers, they remain only a small portion of entry-level sales. Condominiums now start from $165,000 to $175,000 for an  older, 650 to 750 sq. ft. walk-up unit on Thorburn Rd., Dalton Ave., and in Pleasantville.

With the current oversupply of homes listed for sale in St. John’s, buyers remain in the driver’s seat. That, along with historically low interest rates, continues to serve as a significant  impetus.

Detached homes can be found from $169,000 for an older bungalow requiring work, located on the peripherals. Older homes are most popular. Most sought-after are properties priced between $210,000 and $250,000 in established neighbourhoods such as Cowan Heights, Mount Pearl and Paradise. Most buyers are realizing their choice location, with little need to compromise.  Those that must choose are opting to spend a little more, if necessary.

Solid demand among first-time purchasers is expected to carry over in to the spring market, with new financing criteria expected to have little impact. In fact, look to sales in the entry-level segment to prompt greater activity in the move-up range in the months ahead. February year-to-date sales were 11 per cent off year-ago levels, with 359 sales recorded, while average price continued its ascent at $255,512, up just over five per cent.

Full RE/MAX Media Release for the First Time Buyers Report 2011

Driven by the threat of higher interest rates down the road, first-time buyers are contributing to strong upward momentum in residential housing markets across the country, according to a report released by RE/MAX.

The RE/MAX First-Time Buyers Report, highlighting trends and  developments in nineteen major Canadian centres, found that low interest rates and balanced market conditions have provided significant impetus in 2011, particularly at lower price points.  Just over 30 per cent of markets are reporting sales in excess of 2010 levels as a result, while almost 70 per cent have experienced an upswing in average price.  Leading the country in terms of percentage increases in the number of homes sold are Western Canadian markets, including Saskatoon (up close to 15 per cent), Greater Vancouver (up close to 12 per cent), and Winnipeg (up just over 11 per cent).  With an average price hike of close to 20 per cent year-to-date (February), Greater Vancouver continues to show unprecedented strength, followed by Hamilton-Burlington (eight per cent), Quebec City (seven per cent), Winnipeg (close to seven per cent), Greater Toronto (five per cent), and Greater Montreal (five per cent).

Despite homeownership rates approaching 70 per cent, there is clearly room for growth as entry-level buyers make their moves from coast-to-coast, undeterred by higher housing values and changes to lending criteria.  Many purchasers intent on realizing homeownership are scaling back on expectations or are willing to sacrifice location, quality and/or size to make their dream a reality – not unlike generations before them.

Inventory levels, while tight in several larger centres, are more balanced overall, giving first-time buyers a good selection of housing product from which to choose.  Not surprisingly, condominium apartments and town homes have become the first step for many entry-level purchasers, especially in Greater Vancouver, Victoria, Kelowna, Edmonton, Calgary, London-St. Thomas, Hamilton-Burlington, Greater Toronto, the Island of Montreal, and Halifax-Dartmouth where average prices have risen unabated in recent years.

With the Canadian economy on firmer footing overall, residential real estate is well-positioned moving into the traditionally busy spring market.  Consumer confidence is climbing in conjunction with economic performance, and concerns over a secondary recession fade with each passing day.  The mood is cautiously optimistic, as first-time buyers enter the market.

Changes to recent financing criteria have not created the anticipated run up in activity in most markets.  From a financial standpoint, most rookie home buyers remain quite prudent.  Those making the leap are not doing it lightly, buying within their means.  While this most recent round of policy tightening will likely have a negligible effect on demand, the message is getting across.

Affordability remains a growing concern in most markets, and—aside from first-time purchasers—no one is more in tune with that than housing planners and developers.  In fact, the growing demand for reasonably-priced product is creating a shift in the country’s housing mix.  That trend is expected to gain traction in coming years, as builders look to create greater options for those seeking to realize homeownership.    In recent years, builders have helped ease the move to homeownership by concentrating on intensification—condominium buildings with smaller suites and small-lot subdivisions offering detached, compact homes at a fraction of the cost of a traditional single-family home.   On the flip side, the affordability factor is also breathing new life into tired older neighbourhoods, and that, in turn, is contributing to rising values.

As prices escalate, first-time buyers are indeed spending more—some out of necessity, but others are simply in a position to do so.  Unlike in years past—a greater percentage of today’s first-time buyer pool is comprised of dual-income, college or university-educated couples with solid earnings.  They’re spending close to average price or slightly more to secure—in most cases—a better location or a home that will grow with them.   Yet, the fact remains that those on a tighter budget can get in for considerably less, with reasonable choices in every major market across the country.   While some may feel discouraged by eroding affordability levels, the underlying confidence in the concept of homeownership is rising.

While market conditions are one thing that influences first-time buyers, few things trump the fundamental belief in homeownership.  Today’s entry-level buyers are steadfast in their mindset.  They know they have to live somewhere, but they simply don’t want to pay someone else’s mortgage.  Savvy or practical, they remain a driving force.  The bottom line is that the demand for entry-level product will remain steady.  The role of starter homes in the marketplace is becoming ever more vital.

Full RE/MAX Media Release can be viewed here.

I’m not one for talking politics.  Nor am I one for pushing a certain poltical party on anyone, but this caught my interest….more so for me to write about.

In Stephen Harpers campaign, he is offering a tax credit to first time home buyers if re-elected.  Up to a $5000 tax credit to help with closing costs.  Note this is a tax credit and NOT $5000 cash in hand. According to the article on CBC, it would result in a maximum return rebate of $750 per family.

The average selling price of a home in this country will rise by 3.3 per cent this year to $317,450, and by a further three in 2009 to $327,000, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predicted last month.

The average closing costs on a house ranges from 1% to 2% the cost of the house.

An economic engine firing on all cylinders has driven residential real estate activity in Newfoundland and Labrador to new heights. Home sales in the first quarter of 2008 climbed just over 14 per cent, rising from 624 units—and a buyer’s market—one year ago, to 713 units, and a seller’s market. Average price followed suit, with year-to-date values rising close to 14 per cent to $156,953, up from $138,167 in 2007. The momentum is even greater in St. John’s, where average price now approaches $190,000. Not since a very short-lived period in 2004 has the city seen the level of consumer confidence that exists in the marketplace today.

Fueled by export growth—in the form of crude oil—Newfoundland-Labrador’s GDP growth led the country in 2007 at a substantial 13.4 per cent. Newfoundland- Labrador has reported the largest single-decade turnaround in GDP per capita in one decade—a first in Canadian history. Out-migration has been stemmed and population growth is expected for the first time in 15 years. Premier Danny Williams has promised that the province will be a “have” within the next 11 months.

Prosperity has fueled a spending spree that includes housing, retail, and auto sales. Inventory levels are tight and multiple offers are commonplace on homes across the board.

First-time buyers are entering the market en masse, taking advantage of zero and low down payment plans and longer amortization periods. Equity gains have also played a role, prompting serious move-up activity. Home sales priced in excess of $350,000 are brisk.

Investment is a growing segment of the real estate market, spurred by purchasers from Western Canada. Lower interest rates are expected to stimulate even greater activity in the marketplace.

There are $10 billion in capital works projects on the table and the pressure is only starting to build. Natural resources are the key to success and the future has never looked brighter for St. John’s. Real estate will following lock-step, with sales and prices exceeding 2007 levels by double-digits at year-end 2008.

Read the full Remax Atlantic Canada Martket Trends Report 2008

Although a recent report pegged St. John’s as one of the most affordable cities in the G7 nations, affordability is a growing concern. Buyers continue to face challenging market conditions, including unprecedented demand and extremely tight inventory levels.

Multiple offers are quite prevalent. It is not uncommon to see quality, new listings generate three to four offers after only a few days on the market, with most selling for more than list price. Bungalows are especially coveted.

Despite a sense of urgency in the marketplace, buyers remain quite determined. Most are willing to compromise by way of necessity, while others ante up more money to compete. Some entry-level purchasers are sitting on the fence, waiting for more product to come on stream with the Spring market and better weather.

Currently, average price in Greater St. John’s hovers at $172,000. Although the St. John’s downtown core has more affordable options, most purchasers prefer Woodlands, Cowan Heights, and Mount Pearl, where three-bedroom, resale homes start from $180,000.

Condominiums are a viable alternative, but this type of product is popular with only a small percentage of first-time buyers. St. John’s Condos can start from $100,000 for a one-bedroom unit in an old military conversion to $130,000 for a two-bedroom in an older building in the northwest end of the city. Duplex product, though limited, is also growing in demand, and more units are coming on stream.

The least expensive sales recorded to date in St. John’s include a detached home with some new upgrades that changed hands for $140,000 and an 800 sq. ft. condo apartment that sold for $95,100 in an older, but renovated, building. Both were located in the city’s east end.

With average prices forecast to experience double-digit momentum yet again this year, it is expected that the first time buyer segment will remain very active as purchasers try to buy in before prices rise further.

While higher housing values and tight inventory levels have hampered home-buying activity so far this year, longer amortization periods and alternative housing types have offset the impact on most major markets across the country, according to a report released today by RE/MAX.

Despite a higher degree of frustration in the marketplace than in previous years, the RE/MAX Affordability Report found that first-time buyers, in particular, remain steadfast in their determination to purchase a home. In fact, entry-level purchasers are adjusting their expectations by sacrificing size, location, and even long-term financial freedom, to overcome challenges such as rising prices and serious supply issues. Innovative financing has become key to homeownership in today’s environment, with longer amortization periods gaining favour in 62 per cent of the major centres surveyed. Low or no down payments were popular with first-time buyers in 38 per cent of markets.

Why not put your rent money into an appreciating asset instead of in your landlord’s pocket?

Do you cringe every month when it’s time to write that monthly rent cheque? Like many other renters, you probably wish that your hard earned money was being put towards something that has potential payback but haven’t explored your options because you don’t think homeownership is within your reach. If you are currently renting you may be surprised to learn that there have been recent mortgage product innovations such as a minimal down payment (0%-5%) and extended amortization that can make owning your first home more than a pipe dream.

This is a great time to get into the St. John’s housing market. House prices are expected to appreciate by 12% in 2008 according to Remax. 2-apartment homes and condos are in demand but when it comes to first time buyers, many renters hesitate because they are concerned about two things. The first is that they may not have enough for a down payment. The second is that they are afraid that they may not be able to carry their monthly mortgage payments. Today, these concerns can be addressed with the minimal down payment and extended amortization options that are available to first time home buyers. Renters can now buy their first home with very little down and also not have to worry about high mortgage payments.

With minimal or zero down payment products, many financial institutions will provide you with 100% financing for the purchase price of the house. Some lenders may also let you borrow close to 100% in financing and offer you a small percentage back as cash. You are able to borrow 95% of the purchase price to put towards your down payment, closing costs, or other costs associated with purchasing a home. Do keep in mind that with minimal down payment you will most likely need to purchase insurance and also have to commit to a longer mortgage term.

Remember that if you do have money set aside for a down payment or have RRSPs you should still consider putting a larger down payment because this does lower your total mortgage amount and ultimately the amount you will pay in interest.

If on the other hand you are concerned that you will not be able to make your mortgage payments, then you should consider extended amortization products that lower your monthly payment amount. This is done by having the mortgage paid back over an extended period of time. Your monthly payments on a 35 or 40 year mortgage will be lower than the payments on a traditional 25 year mortgage.

You should note that with extended amortization products, you will be paying more interest over the long run but there are definite benefits to getting into a hot housing market early. Plus, you always have the option of decreasing your amortization period by exercising your prepayment options or by increasing monthly principal and interest payments.

A valuable resource for information on homeownership is the Canada Mortgages and Housing Corporation (CMHC) website. You will find publications such as Bringing Home Ownership Within Reach.

Given the availability of these new options and the resources to support tomorrow’s homeowners, it’s easy to see why many renters may be switching their rental payments to equity building mortgage payments within the next year.

Credit: www.newcanada.com

Over the previous three years, the St. John’s vacancy rate increased approximately three percentage points, or an average increase of 1.0 percentage point per year. Much of the increase was attributed to record home buying activity and the corresponding movement of renter households to home ownership.

However, this year’s sizeable decline in the vacancy rate is a clear indication that many renter households now deem it more affordable to remain renters rather than buy a home. The average prices in St. John’s have increased (approx $185,000 in January), pushing first time buyers to the sidelines. Although both the resale and new home markets are expected to remain strong next year, the impact of first-time buyers shifting out of rental will be less pronounced than in prior years. The combined effect of these factors should result in the vacancy rate holding steady at the current level of 2.6 per cent in 2008.

However, there is certainly upside risk to the economic forecast and a corresponding decline in the vacancy rate due to an increase in construction activity from Hebron, the Long Harbour Smelter, the Southern Head Placentia Bay refinery and Lower Churchill development.