The RE/MAX Market Trends Report 2010, which examined real estate trends and developments in 16 markets across the country, found that unusually strong activity during one of the traditionally quietest months of the year has led to a sharp decline in active listings in 81 per cent of markets surveyed. The threat of higher interest rates, tighter lending criteria, and in British Columbia and Ontario, the introduction of the new Harmonized Sales Tax (HST) have clearly served to kick-start real estate activity from coast-to-coast, prompting an unprecedented influx of purchasers. As a result, 87.5 per cent of markets posted an increase in sales in January. Average price appreciated in 81 per cent of markets surveyed.

There have never been so many motivating factors in play at once. We’re in for a heated Spring market that will, in all probability, spill over into the summer months, as the window of opportunity draws to a close. The supply of homes listed for sale has been drastically reduced, housing values are once again on the upswing, and banks and governments are moving in unison toward stricter lending policies.

Markets experiencing the tightest inventory levels include Toronto (- 41 per cent); Kitchener-Waterloo (-33 per cent); Ottawa (- 30 per cent); Victoria (- 30 per cent); Greater Vancouver (- 27 per cent); Halifax-Dartmouth (- 19 per cent); London-St. Thomas (- 18 per cent); Regina (- 16 per cent); and Winnipeg (- 13 per cent). Conditions were still balanced, but starting to tighten in Calgary, Edmonton and Saskatoon, particularly in the single-family detached category.

The highest year-over-year sales gains were reported in Greater Vancouver (152 per cent), Kelowna (121 per cent), Greater Toronto (87 per cent), Victoria (69 per cent), Hamilton-Burlington (58 per cent), London-St. Thomas (55 per cent) and Calgary (47 per cent). Western Canadian cities dominated the list of centres with the highest increases in price appreciation. These included Victoria at 25.5 per cent, Kelowna at 22 per cent, Greater Vancouver at 19.5 per cent, and Winnipeg at 17 per cent. St. John’s (23 per cent) and Toronto (19 per cent) were also among the frontrunners for price growth.

Affordability is the catalyst for the vast majority of purchasers in today’s housing market. While homeownership is still within reach in many major centres, levels are slipping. There is a growing sense, on both sides of the fence, that the time to act is now.

While buyers are taking advantage of favourable conditions, sellers too are reaping the rewards. Competing bids are a factor in the marketplace once again, with well-priced listings—especially at the entry-level price point—experiencing multiple offers. Properties priced at fair-market value will likely sell quickly for top dollar. The overall pressure on sales and price is significant across the board – and it’s not likely to subside unless more inventory comes on-stream.

The RE/MAX Housing Market Outlook for 2010 examined residential real estate trends in 23 markets. The report found that sales are forecast to recover in almost all major centres by year-end 2009, led by an anticipated 45 per cent increase in Greater Vancouver. Two markets — Ottawa and Quebec City — are expected to hit historic highs in the number of homes sold. Average price should post new records in 65 per cent of markets surveyed this year. As economic performance ramps up across the country, so too will residential real estate. Eighty-three per cent of markets (19/23) are expecting sales to increase over 2009 levels while housing values are forecast to escalate in 91 per cent (21/23) of Canadian centres in 2010. The remaining markets will match 2009 levels.

Approximately 465,000 homes are expected to change hands nationally in 2009, a seven per cent increase over one year ago. Canadian housing values are forecast to close the year at $318,000, up five per cent from $303,594 in 2008. By year-end 2010, the number of homes sold is predicted to climb another two per cent to 475,000 units. The average price of a home is also expected to experience an uptick, rising two per cent to $325,000 – the highest level in Canadian history.

“2009 was without question the year of the house,” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Real estate not only defied industry and analysts’ predictions in 2009 — it’s performance went well beyond the realm of expectation by boosting consumer confidence levels and ultimately kick starting the national economic engine. While low interest rates were a principle factor driving home buying activity, no one can discount the value that Canadians place in owning a home.”

Download the complete press release

September appeared to be a fairly balanced month for the St. John’s Real Estate market.  New MLS listings edged ever so slightly down, as did the number of sales compared to August’s Newfoundland Real Estate Stats.  Both the Canadian Real Estate Association and RE/MAX released reports last month indicating strong housing sales and positive real estate markets throughout Canada.  Here in St. John’s our 12 month average price for a home is $228,325 (single family home).  Huge increases if you compare past Newfoundland average housing prices of  $170,482 for 2008 and $147,201 for 2007.

Total # of new MLS Listings [Sept] =462 (based on residential stats)

Total # of Sales [Sept] = 331

Number of Active Listings in the NLAR MLS System (ALL of Newfoundland) = 2093 (residential only)

Here is a break down by area for the month of September

St. John’s Real Estate: Listings = 188   Sales = 135 Sales/Listings Ratio = 72%

Average Sale Price is St. John’s: $237,259 for the month of September

Mount Pearl Real Estate: Listings = 32 Sales = 20  Sales/Listings Ratio = 63%

Average Sale Price: $219,715

Paradise Real Estate: Listings =41 Sales = 38 Sales/Listings Ratio =93%

Average Sale Price: $281,817

East Extern Real Estate: Listings = 38 Sales = 27  Sales/Listings Ratio = 71%

Average Sale Price: $256,696

Conception Bay South Real Estate: Listings = 40   Sales = 26  Sales/Listings Ratio = 65%

Average Sale Price: $229,135

The RE/MAX Bricks and Mortar Report found the bounce back that began in early Spring has made this recession one of the shortest on record for real estate. Low interest rates, pent-up demand, and improved affordability levels have all played a role in the recovery now well underway. Percentage increases in sales from January to August 2009 were led by Vancouver, (up a substantial 14 per cent to 23,158), Victoria (up 7.4 per cent to 5,266), Edmonton (up 6.2 per cent to 13,691), Regina (up five per cent to 2,597), Ottawa (up 2.4 per cent to 10,830) and Toronto (up 1.8 per cent to 58,421).

Housing values are already ahead of record-breaking 2008 levels in seven of the 11 markets surveyed, including Newfoundland-Labrador (18.1 per cent year to $203,584), Regina (6.4 per cent to $244,088), Halifax-Dartmouth (3.5 per cent to $239,633), Winnipeg (3.5 per cent to $207,006), Ottawa (3.3 per cent to $301,684), and Toronto (up 0.3 per cent to $385,978). Nationally, average price hovers at $312,585, up 0.5 per cent over one year ago.

“Markets are heating up across the country,” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Purchasers are clearly taking advantage of affordable prices and rock bottom interest rates. Those who missed the boat in years past have found that sitting on the sidelines can be a costly move. Prices are on the upswing and inventory levels are tightening, so the push toward home ownership is expected to continue throughout the Fall and possibly into early 2010.”

The recovery of Canada’s resale housing markets speaks to the tremendous value Canadians place on the importance of owning a home. The number of Canadians overall who own a home has increased since 1981 from 62.1 per cent to 68.4 per cent, with some markets posting even higher homeownership rates — Calgary (74.1), St. John’s (71.5), Regina (70.1), and Edmonton (69.2). Significant gains have also been made over the same period in markets such as Ottawa — where homeownership levels rose from 51.4 per cent to 66.7 per cent — and Toronto, where levels rose fro m 57.3 to 67.6 per cent.

The St. John’s Real Estate Market average house prices are still slowly increasing.  Up to approx $211,000 now.  CHMC haven’t released this quarters stats yet but I’d be curious to see if the trend has shifted from a buyers market to a balanced market.  It does feel more balanced out there on the street.  Active listings are still up in number but buyers are plentiful as well.

The local St. John’s housing market has been in the news the past week.  I’ve watched news clips on both CBC News and the NTV Evening News.  Both reports positive market conditions.

RE/MAX has released a press release titled Recovery underway in key Canadian markets ends buyer dominance in resale housing, says RE/MAX which boasted even more positive news for the St. John’s market.  You can read the St. John’s Market-by-Market review here.

“In the past two months, hundreds of homes have been listed for sale, but only 40 per cent have sold,” explains Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, Regional Director, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “This innovative new program encourages existing homeowners to increase their stake in the home-selling process by working with their real estate professional to maximize their homes’ potential.”

The launch of Fit To Sell coincides with the opening of the St. John’s Home Show, scheduled for April 30 through to May 3, at the Mile One Centre. RE/MAX will be presenting its Fit To Sell tips, developed with the help of popular staging expert Carla, host of the DVD series ‘How to Stage your own Home’ and owner of Nex-Step Design, at the event.

“We know that location, price, and condition are the three major factors that come into play when selling a home – and while location and price are clearly choices made by the buyer at the onset, condition is the one factor that a seller can influence,” says Polzler. “Sellers who make the right decision in preparing their home for sale can significantly improve their bottom line.”

Check out the Fit to Sell website www.fittosell.ca for a comprehensive package of videos and checklists to get top dollar for your St. John’s home.

Be sure to fill out your online ticket for a chance to win a $25,000 Viking Kitchen through the RE/MAX Ultimate Viking Kitchen Contest.

Home Show 2009 is organized by the Canadian Home Builders’ Association – Eastern Newfoundland (CHBA-EN) to provide a meeting place for consumers and professional members of the residential construction industry.  A primary focus for the Show organizer is the sharing of information on energy efficiency, healthy housing, and the value provided by contracting with professional product & service providers.

The stats have been tallied and once again RE/MAX is leading the way in market share for St. John’s and surrounding areas.  Over 40% of the real estate business in St. John’s is being transacted with RE/MAX Realtors and the RE/MAX branding.

As reported back in July for the first two quarters in 2008 for  St. John’s real estate market update, RE/MAX has been consistantly hovering near 40%.  In fact for over 5 years I’ve seen RE/MAX going from the mid thirties and up.

As in most years, it’s difficult to predict.  Last year CMHC predicted 6% and RE/MAX stated at least 12%.  I remember saying after the first quarter we’ll see much higher then 12%.  The final tally for 2008 is not yet in but should be close to 23% in my opinion.

Now….where do I see the St. John’s real estate market for 2009.  Currently my mind is set at a 5% increase from 2008.

How can I say this with the US housing market expecting to drop even more, Canadian markets are predicted to lower in some areas, and the UK, no real direct relation, but the world housing market seems to be taking a hit right now.  It all boils down to consumer confidence, the provincial economy and a balanced market.  All three we are seeing in Newfoundland currently.

There are still a lot of sale pendings left over from 2008 that will help keep the numbers up for unit sales in 2009, but there is clear evidence that it’s no longer a seller’s market.  With mortgage rates still at VERY low levels, as well as increased inventory in new construction and pre-existing homes, this will leave more choices for buyers.

Personally I do not see the market going into the negative numbers, but I do see houses sitting longer on the market and “price reduced” signs being more familiar then “sold signs”.

Click here for the RE/MAX Press Release