St. John’s Real Estate Market Posts Strong First Quarter in 2010

May 17, 2010 · Filed Under CMHC Reports, Market Trends and St. John's Real Estate · Comment 

Historically low mortgage rates, combined with strong economic and demographic trends, buoyed local demand for housing in the first quarter of this year.  January to March housing starts posted record results, while existing home sales and prices both continued to advance.

Overall, the St. John’s real estate market was supported by growth in  employment,  income and population, healthy consumer spending and on-going economic momentum spurred by the local oil sector.

Residential construction activity posted record results during the January to March period, due in part to an unseasonably mild winter.  New home prices also advanced in line with  the general market trend.  First quarter housing starts activity increased 15 per cent, with 246 starts versus 214 in 2009’s first quarter.  Single-detached starts increased by 23 units  or 20 per cent, with 199 starts recorded versus 166 during the first three months of last year.

The multiple starts segment was flat, with 47 starts during the quarter compared to 48 a year ago.  The only sub-market which reported increased construction activity was the St. John’s City submarket during the January to March period (104 starts compared to 88 a year ago), with Mount Pearl posting 15 starts versus 17 during 2009’s first quarter and Paradise recording 62 versus 65 a year ago.  Conception Bay South (CBS) recorded 22 starts in the first quarter, consistent with 2009’s first quarter while starts in Torbay remained flat after this first quarter with 14. In the remainder of the CMA, starts increased from eight in the first three months of 2009 to 29 this year.

Price growth continued, with the average new house price increasing in all submarkets. In fact, the average price of a new home surpassed the $325,000 mark in St. John’s City and the $350,000 mark in Torbay. Average sales price ($354,333) and average sales growth (26.4 per cent) were highest in the Torbay submarket of the St. John’s CMA. The average new single-detached house price for the overall St. John’s CMA increased nearly 20 per cent to a record $311,638 compared to $259,990 during the first quarter of 2009. CBS  posted the lowest average new house price of $248,328 during the quarter. Paradise had the second highest rate of new house price growth in the first quarter at 25.1 per cent to  $333,388.

Throughout the St. John’s area, approximately 47 per cent of all new construction activity fell within the $300,000 plus range during the quarter.  The largest growth in market share occurred in the $400,000+ segment.  Overall, new home price growth remained brisk throughout the quarter.

SOURCE: CMHC Housing Now St. John’s CMA

April Housing Starts in St. John’s Area

May 10, 2010 · Filed Under CMHC Reports · Comment 

ST. JOHN’S, May 10, 2010 – Urban housing starts increased during the month of April, according to preliminary  released today by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). April’s housing starts totaled 129 throughout the St. John’s area versus 87 starts in April of 2009. There were four additional starts recorded outside the St. John’s area, for a total of 133 provincial urban starts compared to 106 last April.

“April’s brisk new home construction activity positioned the market 48 per cent ahead of the same month last year and 25 per cent year-to-date,” said Chris Janes, senior market analyst with CMHC in Newfoundland and Labrador. “Continued growth in local employment, income and population combined with low mortgage rates has supported residential construction activity during the first four months of 2010,” added Janes.

In urban centres across Canada, total housing starts increased 79 per cent with 14,995 recorded in April compared to 8,387 during April of 2009. Throughout Atlantic Canada, there were 573 urban housing starts posted versus 419 the previous April, an increase of 37 per cent.

SOURCE: CMHC

CMHC Reports St. John’s Area February Housing Starts

March 9, 2010 · Filed Under CMHC Reports · Comment 

ST. JOHN’S, March 8, 2010 – Urban housing starts increased during the month of February, according to preliminary released today by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). February’s housing starts totaled 68 throughout the St. John’s area versus 45 starts in February of 2009. There were no additional starts recorded outside the St. John’s area. “February’s brisk residential construction activity was attributed to a combination of continued demand and an unseasonably mild winter month,” said Chris Janes, senior market analyst with CMHC in Newfoundland and Labrador. “Local economic and demographic conditions continue to support new home construction throughout the St. John’s region and the first two months of 2010 indicate a solid start to the year,” added Janes.

Newfoundland Real Estate MLS Stats February

Buyers are taking advantage of favourable real estate market conditions around St. John’s and areas….sellers too are reaping the rewards. Multiple offers are a factor in our marketplace once again, with well-priced listings—especially around the $200k to $260k  price range. Properties priced at market value will likely sell quickly for top dollar. The overall pressure on sales and price is significant across the board – and it’s not likely to subside unless more inventory comes on-stream.  The Bank of Canada released today that it will keep it’s interest rate “as is” but hinted at the fact it will most likely increase in June/July due to Canada’s higher then expect latest GDP numbers.

Total # of new MLS Listings [Feb] =567 (based on residential stats)

Total # of Sales [Feb] = 259

Number of Active Listings in the NLAR MLS System (ALL of Newfoundland) = 2650 (residential only)

Here is a break down by area for the month of February

St. John’s Real Estate: Listings = 117   Sales = 66 Sales/Listings Ratio = 56%

Average Sale Price is St. John’s: $270,742 for the month of February and the 12 month average $240,470

Mount Pearl Real Estate: Listings = 13 Sales = 7  Sales/Listings Ratio = 54%

Average Sale Price (12 month average): $218,063

Paradise Real Estate: Listings =64 Sales = 18 Sales/Listings Ratio =28%

Average Sale Price (12 month average): $268,980

East Extern Real Estate: Listings = 37 Sales = 14  Sales/Listings Ratio = 38%

Average Sale Price (12 month average): $259,371

Conception Bay South Real Estate: Listings = 48   Sales = 19  Sales/Listings Ratio = 40%

Average Sale Price (12 month average): $225,728

Kirkland Balsom St. John’s Real Estate Market Overview 2010

Kirkland Balsom and Associates have just released their Real Estate Market Overview 2010 for St. John’s. I’ve shared this report the past 2 years and once again this year they are “spot on” with their assessments.

Here is an outline of their report:

RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Strong demand with less supply results in higher prices

The residential market just keeps on rolling! Demand remains strong and supply remains tight for well located and appropriately priced homes. The underlining drivers for this strong demand appears to be the fear of having to pay more in the future, easy access to favourable financing and strong employment throughout the region. A substantial increase in land values over the past year spurred new home construction cost and more than offset a slight softening in the sub-trades. Anticipated higher borrowing cost in late 2010 may serve to increase demand in the first half of 2010; however, could weaken demand in the second half. Pending an unforeseen increase in listing inventory, further price increases is
anticipated.

MULTI-RESIDENTIAL/CONDOMINIUM SECTOR
Effective full occupancy

With the apartment complexes at effective full occupancy and no new inventory on the horizon, rental rates should continue to increase. Not surprisingly in light of these trends, investor interest remains strong. A number of older apartment buildings in the university area have been purchased, renovated and converted to condominium units. Market activity also remains strong in the small scale 2-6 unit projects as entry level investors compete for limited supply.
Prices/demand continues to strengthen in condominiums at all price points. Escalating construction costs and an aging population will stimulate condo demand and values in the coming year.

Newfoundland Real Estate January

February 4, 2010 · Filed Under St. John's Real Estate · Comment 

Well the first month of the year has past.  Personally I find January the slowest month of the year for real estate,  but this year was a little different.  Inventory levels of homes for sale in St. John’s and surrounding areas seem to be very low.  On the flip side there are lots of buyers.   I’ve been involved in a few multiple offer situations so far this year and have heard from other Realtor’s that they too have been involved in multiple offers.  As well, I’ve seen a fair number of homes sold within 24 to 48 hours from being listed on MLS.  Based on CMHC’s stats from ‘Newfoundland MLS Trends for 4th quarter of 2009‘ we ended 2009 in a sellers market.  I feel this trend will continue into the better part of the summer.  When the Bank of Canada increases it’s interest rates we’ll probably see a little pull back in sales.

Total # of new MLS Listings [Jan] =615 (based on residential stats)

Total # of Sales [Jan] = 240

Number of Active Listings in the NLAR MLS System (ALL of Newfoundland) = 2458 (residential only)

Here is a break down by area for the month of January

St. John’s Real Estate: Listings = 155   Sales = 89 Sales/Listings Ratio = 57%

Average Sale Price is St. John’s: $271,674 for the month of October and the 12 month average $237,988

Mount Pearl Real Estate: Listings = 21 Sales = 3  Sales/Listings Ratio = 14%

Average Sale Price (12 month average): $218,729

Paradise Real Estate: Listings =28 Sales = 21 Sales/Listings Ratio =75%

Average Sale Price (12 month average): $269,242

East Extern Real Estate: Listings = 40 Sales = 15  Sales/Listings Ratio = 38%

Average Sale Price (12 month average): $259,029

Conception Bay South Real Estate: Listings = 34   Sales = 18  Sales/Listings Ratio = 53

Average Sale Price (12 month average): $223,082



2009 Urban Housing Starts in Newfoundland and Labrador

ST. JOHN’S, January 11, 2010 – Urban housing starts posted consistent results during the month of December, according to preliminary released today by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). December’s housing starts totaled 201 throughout the St. John’s area versus 202 starts in December of 2008. An additional 22 starts were recorded in other urban areas across the province, for a total of 223 provincial starts compared to 226 the previous December. For 2009, urban housing starts totaled 1,703 in the St. John’s area and 2,022 provincially.

“The local residential construction industry remained buoyant throughout 2009 and ended the year off just nine per cent compared to 2008’s record pace,” said Chris Janes, senior market analyst with CMHC in Newfoundland and Labrador. “Despite weakness in the global economy in 2009, positive local economic and demographic factors continued to support stable residential construction activity within the St. John’s region, as well as in other urban centres across the province,” added Janes.
For Canada’s urban centres, total housing starts increased 17 per cent with 12,262 recorded in December compared to 10,488 during December of 2008. Single-detached starts increased 44 per cent to 6,222, while multiple starts of 6,040 represent a two per cent decline from a year ago. Throughout Atlantic Canada, there were 672 urban housing starts posted versus 574 the previous December, an increase of 17 per cent.

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